WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7dddeb1b37e0c40c9669a2e84626455836f11a662ad992cb359055ea103598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 13,510$6,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,755.06 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 8,989$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,466$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.33 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 1,710$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.7 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 1,574$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,562$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,294$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,183$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.98 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 944$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 921.66$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 819.25$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.72 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 732.7$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 717.5$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 490.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 398.08$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 392.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 337.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 294.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 254.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 250.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…87adbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 217.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 198$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 187.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 166.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 162.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 146.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 121.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 79c | 108$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 80.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 76.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 54.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 50.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 45.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 43.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 42.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 39.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 37.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 30.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 24.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix MercuryMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.