TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75ce…0fbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$25.57
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203.8%+$38.73
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+220.3%+$81.52
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.38
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.69
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.35
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$87.88
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Algeria to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.42
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$32.36
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.64
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$22.22
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$36.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+343.6%+$145.07
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$14.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.