Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Yuno Kitahara vs Thasaporn Naklo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3acb0697aff4bad1bf1371b2088c75f5d7cf079e6455779a8d3a2a435d9f75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuno Kitaharaof Yuno Kitahara, Thasaporn Naklo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 38c | 3,968$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuno Kitahara | 57c | 2,271$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuno Kitahara | 62c | 1,293$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.41 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yuno Kitahara | 37c | 1,218$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Yuno Kitahara | 53c | 926.41$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.97 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuno Kitahara | 46c | 719.02$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Thasaporn Naklo | 65c | 677.84$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.2 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 634.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuno Kitahara | 45c | 616.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thasaporn Naklo | 6c | 443$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 191.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yuno Kitahara | 56c | 168.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yuno Kitahara | 60c | 168$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 157.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Thasaporn Naklo | 51c | 153.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yuno Kitahara | 62c | 137.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yuno Kitahara | 37c | 135$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Thasaporn Naklo | 46c | 132.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Yuno Kitahara | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…d0ffbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 47c | 112.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Thasaporn Naklo | 61c | 105.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 93.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Thasaporn Naklo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Thasaporn Naklo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Yuno Kitahara | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yuno Kitahara | 49c | 85.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 78.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Thasaporn Naklo | 61c | 78.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 78.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Thasaporn Naklo | 62c | 78.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yuno Kitahara | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…f6cbbacked Yuno Kitahara | 34c | 58.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yuno Kitahara | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Thasaporn Naklo | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Yuno Kitahara | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…9162backed Thasaporn Naklo | 78c | 43.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yuno Kitahara | 64c | 42.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Thasaporn Naklo | 32c | 39.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…c958backed Yuno Kitahara | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Yuno Kitahara | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yuno Kitahara | 75c | 33.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Thasaporn Naklo | 61c | 30.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Thasaporn Naklo | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Thasaporn Naklo | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Yuno Kitahara | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yuno Kitahara | 46c | 27.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Thasaporn Naklo | 42c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…0fbcbacked Yuno Kitahara | 59c | 24.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Yuno Kitahara | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Thasaporn Naklo | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.