Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75bf2f4d08c8a625ae089ea343c50cfbeee07cf65ab29ceb47b54a4f55831db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.42 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 821.52$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 656.21$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 34c | 464.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 270.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 59c | 244.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 230.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 47c | 189.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 46c | 177.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 171.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…aa43backed Yes | 58c | 167.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 13c | 122.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Yes | 62c | 112.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 34c | 102.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Yes | 58c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Yes | 59c | 57.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…33bcbacked No | 46c | 54.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 65c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…3633backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 39c | 33.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…c3bcbacked Yes | 80c | 32.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 59c | 29.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…0fbcbacked Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 27.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…9ea0backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria to win the second half?this page
- Jordan to win the second half?No won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.