TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd71…33bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.78
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$15.39
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$15.52
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.69
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.78
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.87
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Jordan to score first vs. Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+220.3%+$85.89
Algeria to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.82
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.77
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+107.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$10.05
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Bor Artnakbacked Bor Artnak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$8.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$4.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fuego vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsbacked Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.