AI · resolved market
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc751446629fdf52b5ce3f816a52d443dafe0e6dc68a4001ec14bdb38fb39d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2589…6868backed Yes | 35c | 28,981$10,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,084.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…2842backed No | 56c | 24,723$13,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810.07 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 22,021$15,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.66 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd8…5500backed Yes | 20c | 18,738$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 17,571$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.41 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…7bd0backed Yes | 9c | 12,692$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,649$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 11,667$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.04 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 10,413$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.58 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…e654backed Yes | 2c | 8,760$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…b11abacked Yes | 28c | 7,939$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 12c | 7,587$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.16 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…e1c5backed Yes | 10c | 6,782$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 64c | 6,087$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.7 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 5,037$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 50c | 4,356$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…e3a2backed Yes | 5c | 4,128$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 25c | 4,042$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 73c | 3,850$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.83 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed Yes | 70c | 3,715$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…db57backed Yes | 6c | 3,331$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,327$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…1b9dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,268$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,117$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…617abacked Yes | 20c | 3,021$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…c4f4backed Yes | 69c | 2,887$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…f88abacked Yes | 36c | 2,819$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 45c | 2,750$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.96 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…71e9backed Yes | 73c | 2,656$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 2,635$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.16 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…eb68backed No | 70c | 2,593$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes | 31c | 2,432$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…4409backed No | 70c | 2,392$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 2,318$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…7d94backed No | 79c | 2,300$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 2,296$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.73 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed Yes | 30c | 2,151$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…d3c5backed Yes | 14c | 2,134$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 2,093$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…f52fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,052$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 36c | 2,033$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.49 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 62c | 1,995$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 31c | 1,969$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…a201backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 13c | 1,566$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 2c | 1,561$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…c095backed Yes | 56c | 1,478$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 1,465$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.22 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,461$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 56c | 1,449$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…c5ebbacked Yes | 33c | 1,436$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.73 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 1,409$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.71 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 14c | 1,373$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 2c | 1,352$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 1,352$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.59 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…73f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,321$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,310$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Yes | 29c | 1,306$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 25c | 1,289$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 1,246$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…10cdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,198$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 74c | 1,161$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.3 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 1,160$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,148$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 59c | 1,125$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 1,106$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.02 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 1,099$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.86 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,076$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.29 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa96…63c3backed Yes | 12c | 1,020$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 25c | 1,018$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 999.99$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 78c | 932.1$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 5c | 922.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…37e9backed Yes | 13c | 919.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…a414backed Yes | 44c | 917.53$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 847.13$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.18 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 45c | 842.4$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.75 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…15c0backed Yes | 22c | 800$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…06ffbacked Yes | 25c | 799.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 32c | 799.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 60c | 746.28$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.48 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed Yes | 35c | 706.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…151bbacked Yes | 79c | 701.71$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 2c | 698.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…87e5backed Yes | 29c | 684.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 78c | 642.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…e2d6backed Yes | 9c | 606.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 27c | 600$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…8d9cbacked Yes | 24c | 600$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…ab29backed Yes | 34c | 594.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 62c | 581.01$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…6e7fbacked Yes | 35c | 555.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 69c | 533.91$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 531.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…5a2fbacked No | 70c | 514.46$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…bf71backed Yes | 15c | 510.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 26c | 509.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a98…c07ebacked Yes | 21c | 505.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?this page
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 18 and May 24, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.