AI · resolved market
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719a14817b23ca134ba7b4d5050026cbf6ae779bfffd20c370515453e4a8b0fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1695…2842backed Yes | 56c | 28,072$15,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 56c | 22,133$12,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.38 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 20,954$6,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,631.11 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…e654backed Yes | 42c | 12,545$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,322.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 47c | 9,983$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.35 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…4409backed Yes | 71c | 8,971$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 7,578$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.48 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 32c | 6,688$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 34c | 6,056$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.97 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 5,877$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.15 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 31c | 5,731$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.26 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 22c | 5,403$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 4,788$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 24c | 4,471$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.83 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 3,851$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.15 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 3,266$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…d3c5backed No | 10c | 3,085$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 65c | 3,021$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.16 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…ed21backed Yes | 67c | 2,901$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…f88abacked No | 57c | 2,618$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 40c | 2,561$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 2,538$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.3 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 10c | 2,423$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…7d94backed Yes | 50c | 2,397$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…0640backed Yes | 9c | 2,209$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 34c | 1,941$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.02 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…6868backed Yes | 14c | 1,860$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +98%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed Yes | 67c | 1,857$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…eb68backed Yes | 70c | 1,618$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…f88abacked Yes | 12c | 1,614$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 8c | 1,584$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 42c | 1,552$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.43 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 1,352$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 80c | 1,289$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 1,230$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.68 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 24c | 1,199$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 1,161$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.66 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…ab29backed No | 35c | 1,159$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 32c | 1,126$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 13c | 1,119$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,119$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,110$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.8 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…93f2backed No | 70c | 1,058$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…b4e2backed No | 28c | 1,056$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 1,029$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 9c | 973.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…25e6backed No | 3c | 960.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…7677backed Yes | 27c | 903$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 31c | 892.14$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 55c | 852.8$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 71c | 817.11$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.81 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed No | 30c | 754.04$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 24c | 735.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.08 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 57c | 732.08$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.6 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…85fcbacked Yes | 12c | 714.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +234.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 38c | 662.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 17c | 645.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 11c | 644.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 61c | 643$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed No | 11c | 629.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked No | 34c | 626.73$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…9cb9backed Yes | 28c | 619.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.56per pick | 28cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…a120backed Yes | 40c | 583.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 43c | 568.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 74c | 557.49$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 73c | 544.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…40d7backed Yes | 23c | 497.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked No | 12c | 488.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…eca5backed No | 42c | 487.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 485.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…6542backed Yes | 62c | 480.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 480.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…b0cebacked No | 33c | 478.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 33c | 431.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 422.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 18c | 420.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.73 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 15c | 414.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 71c | 405.42$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 402.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked No | 62c | 400$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 13c | 381.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…67f2backed No | 37c | 374.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 44c | 369.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed No | 62c | 350$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 55c | 348.16$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009f…f7abbacked No | 5c | 332.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 30c | 330.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 327.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed Yes | 66c | 324.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 18c | 320$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…104abacked No | 74c | 314.88$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…974bbacked Yes | 17c | 302.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…4f9fbacked No | 40c | 299.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed No | 45c | 298.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 36c | 294.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…c55fbacked Yes | 36c | 281.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?this page
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 18 and May 24, 2026?No won
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.