TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d7f…9941

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$558
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.86
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$137.07
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.58
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$52.67
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$106.48
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.25
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+221.9%+$173.7
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+100.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$64.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$11.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)backed Estoril Praia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.