Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86275930e1848974485dcea1038dde4f9a7bd06d0b56a9e85e004651cc306230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 32c | 34,903$11,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,053.82 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 75c | 19,612$14,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.09 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 14,043$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.86 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed Yes | 27c | 8,868$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.45 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 80c | 5,182$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.55 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 5,072$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.35 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 40c | 4,769$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.08 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 77c | 3,886$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 3,857$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.36 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 66c | 3,072$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.2 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 57c | 2,959$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.68 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 2,928$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 2,818$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.79 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,810$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 20c | 2,799$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 22c | 2,352$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.14 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,275$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 67c | 2,250$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.69 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 55c | 2,194$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 2,116$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.12 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 2,010$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.59 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 1,739$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.58 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 42c | 1,725$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.76 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 50c | 1,516$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.97 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 42c | 1,458$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.83 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 47c | 1,422$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,421$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.56 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 75c | 1,366$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.88 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 1,357$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.55 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 63c | 1,345$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.82 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,311$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 44c | 1,269$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.08 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…87f8backed Yes | 61c | 1,167$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 1,165$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.37 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 76c | 1,046$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,018$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…1ec7backed Yes | 29c | 988.05$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 27c | 924.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.49 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 34c | 912.98$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.47 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 910.65$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 74c | 897.79$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.67 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Yes | 29c | 858$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 67c | 850.3$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 18c | 850$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 34c | 828.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.23 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 31c | 791.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 16c | 768$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.12 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 708.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.49 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 72c | 693.57$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.87 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 70c | 640$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 71c | 637.93$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.67 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 63c | 627.39$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…01babacked Yes | 54c | 590.6$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…78dbbacked Yes | 57c | 573.38$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 51c | 571.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.19 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 49c | 553.07$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 69c | 524.51$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 76c | 514.58$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.35 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 42c | 504.83$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 20c | 491$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…b15bbacked Yes | 59c | 489.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 484$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 469.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.28 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 468.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 80c | 450.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 20c | 433.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 18c | 414.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 68c | 413.84$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…f4c9backed Yes | 22c | 408$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 69c | 407.95$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 60c | 402.26$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 23c | 400$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 63c | 376$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 28c | 365.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 74c | 347.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 28c | 340$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 79c | 339.1$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 338.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 68c | 325.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 315$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 23c | 313.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.43 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed Yes | 45c | 305$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428f…5d1bbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 32c | 280.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 63c | 252.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 75c | 243.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 33c | 236.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 55c | 222.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will David Hughes win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.