Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b59b736ef8ec2c0f88139eb426dfcdbe7a0549e3415884f28b07a9b66602544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 33c | 43,768$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,467.76 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 32c | 27,305$8,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,716.52 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 76c | 18,612$14,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 75c | 15,679$11,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.99 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…84a0backed No | 67c | 11,404$7,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 17c | 8,776$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.91 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 8,332$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.23 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 30c | 7,248$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.33 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 6,252$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.53 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 3c | 6,165$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 16c | 5,664$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 24c | 5,603$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.8 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…6cacbacked No | 2c | 5,385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 78c | 5,235$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 67c | 5,024$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 66c | 4,788$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.51 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 4,335$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.2 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed No | 22c | 4,271$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.3 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 4,153$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.38 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 35c | 3,915$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 79c | 3,600$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 64c | 3,333$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.79 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 52c | 3,140$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 42c | 2,971$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.14 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 30c | 2,941$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 21c | 2,649$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 44c | 2,446$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 21c | 2,285$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes | 78c | 2,059$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 2,010$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.3 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 65c | 1,900$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.22 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 1,833$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.11 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 36c | 1,792$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.95 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 1,743$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.59 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…06d2backed No | 67c | 1,660$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 24c | 1,603$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 1,446$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 1,316$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.1 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 39c | 1,278$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 38c | 1,202$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 70c | 1,178$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…9a8dbacked No | 70c | 1,165$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 39c | 1,152$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.05 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 69c | 1,114$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 75c | 1,057$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.61 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 33c | 1,056$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.35 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 36c | 1,049$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.76 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…2f89backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 60c | 950.37$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.67 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed Yes | 33c | 920.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 37c | 901.76$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.86 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 76c | 899.99$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 42c | 893.51$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.03 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 27c | 886.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 60c | 883.75$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.55 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 36c | 846.58$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…67c6backed No | 69c | 800.48$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4f…0ef3backed Yes | 71c | 758.76$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed No | 28c | 752.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 53c | 740$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 38c | 702.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.39 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 28c | 670.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 20c | 658$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 47c | 642.6$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 31c | 635.69$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 11c | 635$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 68c | 589.97$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 587.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.62 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 579.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.09 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…b15bbacked No | 46c | 578.53$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 38c | 553.8$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 30c | 518.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked Yes | 72c | 506$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…e8b7backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…8363backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 71c | 500$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 45c | 495.62$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 35c | 414.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 28c | 411.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 34c | 400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 26c | 399.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…97eabacked No | 62c | 399.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 49c | 390$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 29c | 388.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…9448backed No | 69c | 377$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…bdb6backed No | 69c | 362$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 71c | 354.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 67c | 353.18$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 30c | 346.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 28c | 344$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 40c | 343.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 31c | 342.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will David Hughes win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.