TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f6c…e2d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$15.04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$12.1
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.9
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$42.76
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$325.45
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.59
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$160.86
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$29.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$32.11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$86.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$51.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$101
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.