MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14fad2a17d62f79aa7a253406860ef8b36129e195166dfe59a02529fbadc773b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Toronto Blue Jays, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,039,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $938,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,039,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 227,664$134,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,968.66 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 125,634$41,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,089.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 121,171$62,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,061.81 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 91,008$18,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,356.63 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 80,745$38,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,987.49 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 32,419$16,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 30,774$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.22 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 30,170$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,169.83 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 20,112$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,449.7 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 19,718$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,543.94 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 17,171$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,140.97 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 15,882$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 13,625$6,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,812.45 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 12,013$5,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590.63 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…8e9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 8,728$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,562.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +648.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 8,485$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 8,328$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 7,038$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.88 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 7,024$5,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.58 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 7,000$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 6,640$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.41 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,157$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 4,848$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.14 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…9a6ebacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 4,820$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,009$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.91 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 4,004$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,679$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 3,403$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 3,377$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.81 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 2,746$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.24 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 2,553$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,261$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.54 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 2,200$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 2,100$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.94 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.18 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,022$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.74 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,815$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 1,791$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.39 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 1,769$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.03 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 23c | 1,750$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,750$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,744$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.03 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,725$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 1,710$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,656$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.47 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,597$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,555$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.94 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 1,493$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 1,476$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,474$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,464$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.32 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,462$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,444$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.49 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 1,302$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.68 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,300$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,266$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,257$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,224$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.83 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,130$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.39 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,124$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.8 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,120$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,107$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 1,067$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.97 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 1,060$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,030$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.36 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 960$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 949$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 933.54$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 907.89$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.65 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 892.23$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.23 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 860.2$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 814.74$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.84 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 803.57$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.49 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 800$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…418abacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 798.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 771.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.69 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4a…bb6abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 765.17$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 761.58$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.04 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 750$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 730.16$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.