TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed2d…9af1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,284.34
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.26
ITF Astana: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsuibacked Shunsuke Mitsui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
ITF Tauste: Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Izan Almazan Valiente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320.31
Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Petr Brunclikbacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$384
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.94
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Griekspoorbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,589Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$714.09
National Bank Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$532.98
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vladimir Osminkin vs Vlado Jankanjbacked Vladimir Osminkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Artur Kukasian vs Veljko Krsticbacked Artur Kukasian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.88
ITF Eupen: Simon Beaupain vs Nand Vandepoelebacked Nand Vandepoele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$244.12
Lexington: Millen Hurrion vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.6
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,039Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,492.32
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,553.35
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.94
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$414.78
National Bank Open: Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$941.22
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Maneirobacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.84
Hagen: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henri Squirebacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.6
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.36
ITF Aldershot: Rina Saigo vs Adithya Karunaratnebacked Adithya Karunaratne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,392
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Northamptonshire vs Lancashirebacked Lancashire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.