Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7985506c012244260dec506fdf1967d8d78b14383fd11350f052c42b0dbd1ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maneiroof Svitolina, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maneiro | 50c | 3,918$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.48 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Svitolina | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Svitolina | 46c | 1,137$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.92 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Svitolina | 46c | 1,062$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 2,442 | 50.9%1,243 W · 1,199 L | +83.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Svitolina | 46c | 954$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Svitolina | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 333 | 36.9%123 W · 210 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Svitolina | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Svitolina | 80c | 415.88$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maneiro | 20c | 405.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maneiro | 54c | 291.74$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Svitolina | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Maneiro | 44c | 215.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Maneiro | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Svitolina | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maneiro | 54c | 163.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Svitolina | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Svitolina | 73c | 79.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1,085 | 49.9%541 W · 544 L | +47.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Svitolina | 39c | 79.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Svitolina | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Maneiro | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…daa3backed Svitolina | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Svitolina | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Svitolina | 38c | 51.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Maneiro | 74c | 50.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Svitolina | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Maneiro | 59c | 39.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Svitolina | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Maneiro | 67c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,894 | 59.3%1,124 W · 770 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Svitolina | 46c | 25.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Svitolina | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 259 | 52.1%135 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Maneirothis page
- National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroElina Svitolina won
- Set 2 Winner: Svitolina vs ManeiroSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Maneiro won
- Svitolina vs. Maneiro: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.