Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aldershot: Rina Saigo vs Adithya Karunaratne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a77ae9d63328a86ed30099589dd2c2cf3289ff8f737dd2d2b811b2f05cb2fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Rina Saigo, Adithya Karunaratne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Adithya Karunaratne | 30c | 7,908$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.71 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Adithya Karunaratne | 16c | 1,274$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adithya Karunaratne | 43c | 1,230$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adithya Karunaratne | 44c | 1,209$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Rina Saigo | 55c | 1,098$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.85 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed Adithya Karunaratne | 16c | 956$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rina Saigo | 46c | 945.54$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.87 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 773.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.78 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Rina Saigo | 43c | 771.84$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.95 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Rina Saigo | 54c | 669.69$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.26 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Rina Saigo | 53c | 641.81$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.87 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Rina Saigo | 45c | 607.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.68 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Rina Saigo | 47c | 440$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Rina Saigo | 49c | 406.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Rina Saigo | 43c | 395.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Rina Saigo | 54c | 246.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Rina Saigo | 72c | 236.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Adithya Karunaratne | 44c | 229.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Rina Saigo | 44c | 224.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Rina Saigo | 74c | 215.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Adithya Karunaratne | 16c | 198.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Rina Saigo | 44c | 198.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Rina Saigo | 44c | 197.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…268dbacked Rina Saigo | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 171.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Rina Saigo | 68c | 147.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Rina Saigo | 44c | 142.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Adithya Karunaratne | 23c | 137.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Adithya Karunaratne | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Rina Saigo | 44c | 134.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Adithya Karunaratne | 21c | 129.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Adithya Karunaratne | 46c | 127$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Rina Saigo | 44c | 124.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Rina Saigo | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Rina Saigo | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rina Saigo | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Adithya Karunaratne | 37c | 88.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Adithya Karunaratne | 18c | 83.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 82.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Adithya Karunaratne | 16c | 68.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Adithya Karunaratne | 26c | 61.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Rina Saigo | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Rina Saigo | 44c | 48.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Rina Saigo | 43c | 43.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Rina Saigo | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Adithya Karunaratne | 45c | 40.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Rina Saigo | 59c | 40.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Rina Saigo | 75c | 39.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Rina Saigo | 64c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Rina Saigo | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Adithya Karunaratne | 49c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…5cccbacked Adithya Karunaratne | 49c | 22.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Adithya Karunaratne | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.