TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sara Bejlekof Xiyu Wang, Sara Bejlek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Xiyu Wang49c148,535$72,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,370.258,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d7…17e1backed Sara Bejlek53c92,400$48,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,813.211675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Sara Bejlek41c45,971$18,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,292.252626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sara Bejlek72c32,141$23,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,892.061,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Xiyu Wang48c20,755$9,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,912.494,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Sara Bejlek68c19,183$12,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,216.122662.8%142 W · 84 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Xiyu Wang57c9,974$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.641,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sara Bejlek20c9,167$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,288.096,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Xiyu Wang46c8,664$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.756,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Sara Bejlek66c7,295$4,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.1517149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Sara Bejlek55c6,768$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.365749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Xiyu Wang59c5,010$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.15950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Sara Bejlek53c4,804$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.9510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xiyu Wang35c4,367$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.878,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Sara Bejlek66c4,343$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.914240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sara Bejlek47c4,094$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.794,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed Xiyu Wang8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ea…ec86backed Xiyu Wang8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+96.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ad2…ec06backed Xiyu Wang8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.29per pick18cpaid+114.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e54…b186backed Xiyu Wang8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+84.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Sara Bejlek66c3,319$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.8622939.3%90 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xiyu Wang42c3,202$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Sara Bejlek58c2,646$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.321,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sara Bejlek57c2,490$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.364,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Sara Bejlek58c2,474$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.4153644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Xiyu Wang56c2,229$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.881,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sara Bejlek56c2,189$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.12,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Sara Bejlek60c2,081$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf068…849cbacked Sara Bejlek76c2,064$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.696457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Sara Bejlek52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Xiyu Wang46c1,802$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.0645343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Xiyu Wang36c1,668$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.93,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Xiyu Wang63c1,572$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9887451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Sara Bejlek67c1,563$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.7125158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Xiyu Wang61c1,520$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.541,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Xiyu Wang33c1,519$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.794,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Xiyu Wang44c1,486$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.615,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Xiyu Wang37c1,455$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.1715541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Sara Bejlek54c1,424$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7411143.2%48 W · 63 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sara Bejlek57c1,388$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.673,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Sara Bejlek54c1,280$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.0822123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Sara Bejlek55c1,237$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.345149%25 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…661abacked Xiyu Wang41c1,222$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Xiyu Wang38c1,166$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.3891051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Xiyu Wang49c1,084$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.254334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8e…32c0backed Sara Bejlek19c1,079$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+169.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Xiyu Wang32c1,058$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.746,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8546…35b8backed Xiyu Wang38c1,038$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2720860.6%126 W · 82 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Sara Bejlek34c1,027$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.753,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Xiyu Wang50c1,026$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.019558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Xiyu Wang16c1,000$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15815733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Xiyu Wang16c1,000$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15814936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Xiyu Wang65c1,000$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.59,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e1…86b5backed Sara Bejlek42c999.99$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.994623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Sara Bejlek62c992.07$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7379052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Xiyu Wang57c985.31$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5641,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Xiyu Wang22c973.31$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2148027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Xiyu Wang43c955.88$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4721955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Sara Bejlek42c904.76$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7634555.1%190 W · 155 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Sara Bejlek73c867.68$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4320563.4%130 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2d…9af1backed Xiyu Wang42c857.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.362142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Sara Bejlek60c817.77$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8718947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Xiyu Wang59c810$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.98751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Sara Bejlek23c801.69$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.62,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Xiyu Wang53c799$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.196759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sara Bejlek43c748.84$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8428952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Sara Bejlek67c731.89$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.852,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Xiyu Wang48c725$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34812452.4%65 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Sara Bejlek61c645.71$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8122544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…5d6cbacked Xiyu Wang8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Xiyu Wang46c616.47$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9946030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b00…8cf8backed Xiyu Wang8c608.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.67450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sara Bejlek58c600.74$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.375,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Sara Bejlek64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21694447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Xiyu Wang25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Xiyu Wang16c550$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.548738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Sara Bejlek56c536.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.08540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Xiyu Wang36c533.2$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.521,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Xiyu Wang43c517.93$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7134655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Xiyu Wang60c502.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Xiyu Wang41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sara Bejlek40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Xiyu Wang40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Sara Bejlek74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13014858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Xiyu Wang42c499.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9835938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Xiyu Wang45c492$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8156153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Sara Bejlek72c486.85$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.851,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Sara Bejlek52c476.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3711342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…cf7cbacked Sara Bejlek48c473.84$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.377157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Xiyu Wang29c460$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.817136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Xiyu Wang47c459.81$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Xiyu Wang47c421.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006564.6%42 W · 23 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Xiyu Wang8c416.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Xiyu Wang62c414.16$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.451,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Sara Bejlek73c409$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4941644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Sara Bejlek46c407.5$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0528055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Xiyu Wang31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9845…9d6fbacked Xiyu Wang26c400$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.676432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Xiyu Wang31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12414047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Xiyu Wang26c400$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.678530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.