TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a2e…37ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Karolina Kozakova vs Noelia Mantabacked Noelia Manta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$39.08
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$146.33
Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.52
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.59
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Max Wiskandt vs Nicola Sennbacked Nicola Senn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$29.14
Kingston: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42%+$251.64
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Beatrice Ricci vs Varvara Panshinabacked Beatrice Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradybacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$88.29
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.96
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Ruth Roura Llaveriasbacked Ruth Roura Llaverias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo Bocchibacked Lorenzo Bocchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Artem Alekseychuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF M25 Santander Men: Mikel Martinez vs Ian Lucca Cervantes Tomasbacked Ian Lucca Cervantes Tomas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$28.24
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$578.81
Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamotobacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$167.03
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$74.81
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
ITF Southaven: Kaylan Bigun vs Maximus Dussaultbacked Maximus Dussault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$96.24
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Salvador Pricebacked Salvador Price · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
ITF Southaven: Mayu Crossley vs Annika Penickovabacked Annika Penickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$94.01
ITF Roehampton: Albert Pedrico Kravtsov vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Albert Pedrico Kravtsov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
ITF Southaven: Annika Penickova vs Carlota Morenobacked Annika Penickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$87.28
National Bank Open: Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencicbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.89
ITF Chacabuco: Berta Bonardi vs Victoria Bosiobacked Berta Bonardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.98
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.67
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.01
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.86
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.36
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$19.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$27.16
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$804.22
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$586.59
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.11
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.98
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.67
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.36
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$130.14
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.61
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.55
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$30.31
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.63
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.23
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$104.7
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+479.1%+$1,139.13
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.63
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$73.33
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$569.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.