TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe22…b709

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT12656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.53
National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$118.14
National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.82
National Bank Open: Katie Boulter vs Kayla Crossbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Hagen: Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hagen: Alex Barrena vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$252.16
Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$139.14
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.72
Canadian Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$311.17
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$509.13
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.67
National Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Gruborbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$231.06
Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$361.52
Canadian Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweenybacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$149.53
National Bank Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$200.16
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.05
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+258.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+192.4%+$57.71
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+324.2%+$148.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.31
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$118.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$568.79
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.