World Politics · resolved market
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39974b2dba1bb5741dd8cd04063e77fa33918e9de9f25be7f1402ed6ed3d89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf68…20d8backed Yes | 58c | 6,116$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…3550backed Yes | 73c | 4,105$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 0c | 3,747$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…9124backed No | 51c | 3,579$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 23c | 3,309$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.07 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 13c | 1,679$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked No | 67c | 1,666$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…3e38backed Yes | 77c | 1,195$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 11c | 1,111$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 18c | 1,050$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 873.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…4260backed Yes | 9c | 838.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 21c | 750$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…86c9backed No | 60c | 686.02$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 54c | 608.5$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.14 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 33c | 600.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.61 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 19c | 520$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked No | 35c | 513.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…ce4dbacked Yes | 49c | 510.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…e5ebbacked No | 57c | 449.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 27c | 432.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe5…6d1dbacked Yes | 44c | 429.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 60c | 417.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.23 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 43c | 406.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…7a6abacked Yes | 52c | 386.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ab07backed No | 63c | 369.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 59c | 349.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 57c | 313.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…6cefbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 275.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 18c | 268.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…695bbacked Yes | 40c | 263.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…33bebacked Yes | 37c | 248.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…8e63backed Yes | 44c | 225.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 46c | 218.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 31c | 209.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…ca0dbacked Yes | 11c | 203.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 79c | 200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 58c | 199.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…8febbacked Yes | 41c | 195.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…4a7cbacked Yes | 22c | 167.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 158.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33fbbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…8b32backed No | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 10c | 139.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a23cbacked Yes | 10c | 118.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +949.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…6088backed Yes | 45c | 114.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…60fdbacked Yes | 44c | 112.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…2fd3backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 99.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…0dc8backed Yes | 46c | 95.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…cd41backed No | 58c | 80.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 77.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec5…2f8cbacked Yes | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…fc33backed Yes | 38c | 72.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe5…18d8backed Yes | 45c | 71.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked Yes | 51c | 52.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…7e26backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed No | 30c | 45.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…f22ebacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…9691backed Yes | 42c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Yes | 46c | 43.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…19eabacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 40c | 39.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 44c | 38.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…1113backed No | 43c | 35.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…01a5backed Yes | 40c | 34.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked No | 66c | 32.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…de25backed No | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…d3eebacked Yes | 45c | 22.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?this page
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Roland Lescure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?No won
- Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.