World Politics · resolved market
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb382164cad5072d7837ebc56a19ba461eb28e61391350f4edb518a9218e3c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 3c | 4,321$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…66ffbacked Yes | 22c | 2,403$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked No | 60c | 1,232$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 1c | 999.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…06e6backed Yes | 31c | 664.38$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 5c | 660.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 16c | 633$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 69c | 623.47$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 34c | 580.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 568.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…b26abacked Yes | 38c | 529.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 70c | 485.61$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 444.32$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 1,344 | 44.3%595 W · 749 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 74c | 432.13$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 74c | 423.96$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…b615backed No | 74c | 413.23$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…6709backed Yes | 19c | 380.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 72c | 349.56$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 262 | 40.1%105 W · 157 L | +16.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…ef53backed Yes | 14c | 313.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 309.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…621cbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 296.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 73c | 276.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 66c | 264$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 252.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 894 | 48.3%432 W · 462 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…70aebacked Yes | 6c | 250.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…e2febacked Yes | 6c | 240.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 238.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 225.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 553 | 34.5%191 W · 362 L | -38.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 211.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 450 | 21.1%95 W · 355 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 68c | 211.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…9f55backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 77c | 194.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 30c | 181.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 304 | 33.6%102 W · 202 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…f22ebacked Yes | 38c | 173.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…54b3backed No | 62c | 161.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…faf1backed No | 78c | 145$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…3259backed Yes | 24c | 139.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 70c | 133.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…4891backed Yes | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b62…c75abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 119.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +272.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 25c | 107.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…e0aabacked Yes | 48c | 104.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 104.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…6cefbacked No | 58c | 101.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…9a6ebacked Yes | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2985…0d51backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…8c6abacked Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…1094backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33fbbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 68c | 82.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 26c | 65.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…da55backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d35…2f44backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked No | 67c | 60.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8423backed No | 72c | 54.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 48c | 45.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…5261backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 78c | 41.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…08a5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…a1fabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…d4f8backed No | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…7621backed No | 54c | 36.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…0b93backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…ab3fbacked No | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…366abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…baa3backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9218…51bebacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…e8fdbacked No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 71c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…79e6backed Yes | 48c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…ec42backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…c2b2backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edd…4edfbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?this page
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Roland Lescure be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?Yes won
- Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
- Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.