TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b0b…5e43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$438.4
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.29
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$729.6
Will Paradex launch a token on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+87.3%+$232.99
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+60%+$150
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+253.2%+$381.2
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$86.25
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,134.4
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.72
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,805.54
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+67.3%+$472.06
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$58.56
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$177.94
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.88
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$386.57
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,266.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,099.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.98
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$861.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.78
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$392.2
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,823.3
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$199.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.05
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$399.99
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$296.5
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.38
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$27.81
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,293.82
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,999.84
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$2,640
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$525
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$222.58
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.66
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,160
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,430
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$4,049.84
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,399.98
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,409.97
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-67.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$800
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$599.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.49
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.93
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$860
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$285
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$443.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,370.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.