Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df5a4256840dee05851250c0490da7593597faff3a7f9a156ccbbda7fec76f8

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,610,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,448,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,610,236 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x65b5…e82fbacked Yes	45c	6,777,617$3,066,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066,640.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4d…b874backed Yes	47c	3,644,473$1,728,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,728,059.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	52c	2,265,234$1,177,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,087,978.48	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	58c	1,731,934$1,002,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729,930.48	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed No	54c	1,116,655$604,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512,011.74	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…97debacked Yes	29c	1,096,834$317,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317,226.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd959…daf7backed No	56c	620,366$347,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272,961.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked No	52c	600,000$312,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287,999.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes	43c	505,780$216,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216,927.49	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed No	55c	500,000$275,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No	55c	467,172$255,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212,039.68	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No	53c	321,265$170,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150,747.3	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	52c	264,236$137,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126,267.98	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed No	58c	233,032$136,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,941.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes	20c	232,499$45,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,672.73	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+3.3wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	71c	200,000$142,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,000	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No	53c	172,849$91,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,188.22	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked No	56c	160,084$89,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,437.07	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	29c	155,909$45,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,780.6	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1686…c3f9backed Yes	29c	143,737$41,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,298.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No	52c	138,457$71,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,639.36	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	25c	135,734$34,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,278.44	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…4ce8backed No	65c	128,463$83,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,794.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No	52c	121,835$63,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,616.37	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+10.0wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd71e…79a1backed Yes	27c	120,991$32,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,598.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	47c	118,180$55,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,073.96	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	19c	109,667$20,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,916.1	398	42.2%168 W · 230 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	20c	99,374$20,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,323.62	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes	20c	97,217$19,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,125.76	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes	45c	86,465$38,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,909.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	68c	84,135$57,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,803.99	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes	25c	82,851$20,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,656.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c05…8cd5backed No	52c	80,000$41,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,400	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	27c	78,999$20,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,934.96	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No	57c	78,926$45,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,818.84	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+156.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked No	52c	78,000$40,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,440	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe818…4bb3backed Yes	20c	74,271$14,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,993.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked No	49c	70,564$34,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,303.54	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	40cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes	27c	70,000$18,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,876.09	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	52c	68,849$35,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,047.36	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	60c	67,904$40,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,396.38	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cf…9452backed No	52c	66,009$34,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,684.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No	28c	63,477$17,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,685.17	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	69c	60,000$41,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,400	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8c…0b5cbacked No	75c	56,800$42,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,200	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	26c	53,403$13,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,810.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	25c	53,047$13,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,012.29	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-62%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	52c	51,865$26,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,916.77	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	42c	50,600$21,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,129.66	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da6…e999backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	62c	46,679$29,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,512.34	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	47c	44,581$20,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,667.43	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No	53c	44,444$23,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,999.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No	63c	43,684$27,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,251.27	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes	42c	43,289$17,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,981.37	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes	44c	42,199$18,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,412.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No	54c	40,000$21,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,400	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafff…33ffbacked Yes	27c	40,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52c…6924backed No	73c	39,480$28,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,814.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	17c	36,962$6,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,380.07	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3537…56eabacked Yes	14c	36,031$5,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,107.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes	42c	36,000$15,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,120	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes	44c	35,253$15,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,513.06	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No	53c	34,990$18,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,270.32	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc841…6fcfbacked Yes	29c	34,333$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	26c	34,187$8,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,987.47	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes	23c	33,866$7,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,645.13	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	45c	33,463$15,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,044.3	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No	63c	33,164$20,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,390.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Yes	55c	32,688$17,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,819.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes	47c	32,000$15,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,040	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	43c	31,412$13,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,400.09	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	41c	30,598$12,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,574.39	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	20c	30,451$6,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,159.73	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed No	53c	30,433$16,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,303.69	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes	27c	30,268$8,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,172.38	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes	49c	30,246$14,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,684.78	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed No	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,700	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	29c	30,000$8,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,699.98	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+87.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes	29c	28,867$8,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,371.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No	42c	28,760$12,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,596.9	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	52cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes	28c	28,205$7,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,981.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No	57c	28,029$15,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,123.31	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes	18c	27,989$5,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,037.95	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked No	56c	27,298$15,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,011.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed No	65c	26,829$17,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,323.69	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	53cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	21c	26,560$5,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,696.2	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2497…e26abacked Yes	19c	26,315$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes	26c	26,096$6,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,785.07	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	26c	25,534$6,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,583.28	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	30cpaid	+81%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebfe…f4a4backed Yes	43c	25,459$10,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,964.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	48c	24,918$11,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,965.05	389	35.2%137 W · 252 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbadd…2564backed Yes	13c	23,077$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yes	44c	22,727$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	35c	22,105$7,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,842.77	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fc…047fbacked Yes	19c	22,100$4,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed No	41c	21,476$8,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,632.24	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked No	34c	21,239$7,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,975.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	18c	21,024$3,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,884.3	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes	24c	20,665$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event