Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a5ce595e0f0816e17e5f40dbd5967c88beb4b9f21000bfdd9a1ff26c281fdd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,281,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,539,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,281,076 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,964 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	7c	406,909$30,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,496.77	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes	10c	106,669$11,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,040	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+304.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	9c	99,449$9,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,406.85	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	10c	94,272$9,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,368.52	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	6c	83,946$5,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,208.31	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes	9c	73,123$6,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,349.86	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes	10c	60,010$6,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100.86	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+3.3wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+77.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	8c	58,760$4,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,518.49	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-62%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes	11c	58,309$6,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,414	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	9c	57,198$5,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,317.4	298	46.3%138 W · 160 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafff…33ffbacked Yes	7c	53,759$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes	6c	45,023$2,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,496.86	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+6.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6aa0…e79bbacked Yes	7c	40,847$2,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,690.85	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…cc6bbacked Yes	11c	40,518$4,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,646.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Yes	5c	39,525$1,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830.98	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	6c	39,242$2,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,377.71	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	7c	38,294$2,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,696.36	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes	10c	37,456$3,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,655.01	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes	6c	36,680$2,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,264.52	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	5c	35,200$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	173	22%38 W · 135 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…faa8backed Yes	11c	34,515$3,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,791.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes	9c	34,149$3,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,111	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.21per pick	42cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2497…e26abacked Yes	9c	33,333$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes	8c	31,080$2,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,428.96	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes	10c	31,018$3,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,101.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	9c	30,073$2,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,762.86	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	6c	28,991$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.32	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	10c	28,968$2,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,757.12	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	27,907$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.82	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes	7c	27,428$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.53	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+5.7wins	+0.25per pick	49cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7655…1fa8backed Yes	9c	26,495$2,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,263.94	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	5c	26,000$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.71	123	33.3%41 W · 82 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae05…a67ebacked Yes	7c	24,806$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,842.69	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes	8c	24,724$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,930	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes	7c	23,779$1,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,646.58	90	46.7%42 W · 48 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes	10c	23,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	9c	22,122$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.98	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	5c	20,826$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.44	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	8c	20,134$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,513.84	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	7c	20,001$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.09	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	10c	20,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0853…cc77backed Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes	11c	19,977$2,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,174.27	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…f291backed Yes	10c	19,681$1,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes	9c	19,531$1,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,762.47	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes	8c	18,734$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,509.97	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes	10c	17,668$1,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,766.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1692…7aa5backed Yes	11c	17,300$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,903	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	10c	17,000$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.98	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes	11c	16,363$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.89	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae46…7889backed Yes	9c	15,947$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,385	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	6c	15,878$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912.38	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes	9c	15,686$1,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.47	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	7c	15,560$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.69	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+11.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	5c	15,125$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.95	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes	8c	15,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes	3c	14,995$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	5c	14,859$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.87	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb67c…6fedbacked Yes	7c	14,606$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Yes	10c	13,993$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	8c	13,152$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.42	175	60%105 W · 70 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	10c	12,558$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.18	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes	9c	12,443$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.83	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	9c	12,019$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.73	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	11c	11,735$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes	10c	11,676$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.79	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes	12c	11,638$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.79	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	5c	11,568$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.3	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	4c	11,403$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes	10c	11,111$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.99	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes	11c	10,873$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.93	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes	6c	10,800$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.4	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes	7c	10,769$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.07	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	7c	10,542$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbadd…2564backed Yes	11c	10,431$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…c668backed Yes	9c	10,386$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.09	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf81c…4540backed Yes	4c	10,327$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc7…48afbacked Yes	7c	10,148$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes	6c	10,002$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.34	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	36cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe79a…931fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-47%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3710…2b8dbacked Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+94.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c0…4610backed Yes	10c	9,975$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5c…a435backed Yes	10c	9,926$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	8cpaid	+166.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc79f…083ebacked Yes	6c	9,919$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe822…8ad9backed Yes	10c	9,891$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.06	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes	10c	9,731$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.61	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3887…7f5bbacked Yes	3c	9,729$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.31	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2511…98f4backed Yes	10c	9,693$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+26%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes	10c	9,615$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes	5c	9,318$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes	11c	9,091$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b1…3cd5backed Yes	5c	8,966$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.35	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes	11c	8,907$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.17	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	61cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event