Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c97446c3950446f29624c1361c8fc3546d4db76e07d00ca631504d45140312

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,739,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,739,867 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	2c	699,404$10,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,929.47	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…e614backed Yes	2c	174,380$4,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,353.64	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes	0c	150,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	117,328$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057.88	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	+11.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	1c	98,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	1c	93,862$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.25	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	1c	89,999$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.99	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	1c	72,122$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.46	285	43.9%125 W · 160 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	2c	72,118$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.8	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes	1c	65,554$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.65	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes	2c	62,440$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.61	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes	1c	58,554$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes	1c	58,135$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.09	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	57,226$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.32	173	22%38 W · 135 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2324…2b86backed Yes	2c	52,076$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.24	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	2c	51,363$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.48	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	2c	50,399$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.61	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes	1c	50,204$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.88	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	2c	50,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes	2c	47,876$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.6	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	2c	39,862$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.22	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	1c	34,115$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.43	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	2c	32,058$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.03	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes	1c	29,937$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes	2c	24,500$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.99	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c97…0e8ebacked Yes	2c	22,000$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	2c	19,732$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.73	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes	2c	19,547$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.57	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Yes	1c	19,492$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.88	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Yes	2c	18,677$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.43	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes	2c	17,474$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.48	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-8.7wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	2c	15,089$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.15	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	2c	14,302$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.75	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	1c	14,181$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.22	25	4%1 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	13,749$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.06	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	12,261$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.29	79	24.1%19 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	12,034$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.08	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1350…7169backed Yes	2c	11,789$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	5cpaid	+490.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes	2c	11,760$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf48…6f13backed Yes	1c	11,645$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.39	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-51%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Yes	2c	11,371$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	1c	11,000$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	2c	11,000$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes	1c	10,926$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.3	183	34.4%63 W · 120 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes	1c	9,793$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Yes	2c	9,467$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.29	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce84…86f0backed Yes	1c	9,387$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	2c	9,194$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.15	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes	2c	9,082$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.03	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes	1c	9,000$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+6.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f95…e0eabacked Yes	2c	8,419$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.96	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	2c	8,314$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.76	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1329…479bbacked Yes	2c	8,125$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	1c	7,785$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	4cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes	2c	7,700$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes	1c	7,692$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	1c	7,627$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.95	102	37.3%38 W · 64 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes	1c	7,296$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	0c	7,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9c…47f2backed Yes	1c	6,904$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf51…a223backed Yes	1c	6,804$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	1c	6,699$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.28	20	5%1 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-50%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30d…c27ebacked Yes	2c	6,106$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes	2c	6,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Yes	2c	5,905$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c0…466bbacked Yes	2c	5,822$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b31…cb87backed Yes	2c	5,759$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes	1c	5,267$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.74	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-77%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac21…b3b2backed Yes	1c	5,248$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4325…cd10backed Yes	1c	5,176$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8638…c8e9backed Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a7…e832backed Yes	2c	5,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	1c	5,000$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes	2c	4,996$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.29	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…a0b7backed Yes	2c	4,856$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Yes	2c	4,534$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.01	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Yes	2c	4,501$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes	1c	4,417$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.01	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	23cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4940…52efbacked Yes	2c	4,246$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes	2c	4,164$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.04	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,086$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.15	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	2c	4,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b4…f0d0backed Yes	1c	3,923$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14be…4498backed Yes	1c	3,827$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes	1c	3,757$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes	2c	3,679$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf257…ef33backed Yes	2c	3,642$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Yes	2c	3,578$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.56	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe725…9cc0backed Yes	2c	3,457$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+284.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Yes	2c	3,427$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+112.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ce0…5881backed Yes	1c	3,267$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0528backed Yes	1c	3,250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes	1c	3,119$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9e…47bdbacked Yes	1c	3,100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	3,100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.3	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc062…230ebacked Yes	1c	3,062$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeab…4997backed Yes	2c	3,040$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	1c	3,027$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.35	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes	2c	3,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event