TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2c0…466b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+490.6%+$4,153.68
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.63
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.95
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.34
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.26
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.74
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46.32
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$70.82
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$129.28
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$83.84
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$124.04
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+963.4%+$1,233.19
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$192.86
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148.17
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.14
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+669.2%+$133.85
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42.2
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick6cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$21.23
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$23.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.