NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af6b21b3ad9e33faa68ab032ed0367d765c1aac7e4d434ee75f64b12ac40334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,535,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,365,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,535,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Pelicans | 7c | 607,052$40,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,923.12 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Pelicans | 6c | 99,999$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.92 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 7c | 50,473$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.14 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pelicans | 0c | 49,374$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pelicans | 1c | 37,796$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Pelicans | 7c | 25,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Pelicans | 6c | 24,870$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.18 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Pelicans | 7c | 22,681$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pelicans | 7c | 18,019$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.32 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Pelicans | 7c | 17,497$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 6c | 14,999$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.96 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…0d53backed Pelicans | 1c | 14,361$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 0c | 13,121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans | 0c | 12,817$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 0c | 12,264$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pelicans | 2c | 11,835$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 7c | 11,422$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pelicans | 7c | 10,056$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.92 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 0c | 10,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…e9c7backed Pelicans | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…8d1ebacked Pelicans | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans | 0c | 9,061$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 0c | 8,751$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Pelicans | 6c | 7,800$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Pelicans | 1c | 6,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 5,685$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.95 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 338 | 60.9%206 W · 132 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…76bbbacked Pelicans | 7c | 4,800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,392$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 4c | 4,313$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pelicans | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Pelicans | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 8c | 3,700$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…ec41backed Pelicans | 3c | 3,652$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Pelicans | 2c | 3,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Pelicans | 6c | 3,451$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Pelicans | 6c | 3,400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pelicans | 6c | 3,014$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…1034backed Pelicans | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Pelicans | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Pelicans | 3c | 2,564$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 3c | 2,529$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Pelicans | 1c | 2,322$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Pelicans | 1c | 2,187$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Pelicans | 2c | 2,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Pelicans | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 3c | 1,776$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Pelicans | 5c | 1,579$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Pelicans | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,411$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 1,378$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Pelicans | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,242$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Pelicans | 6c | 1,175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…7633backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…161bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…df98backed Pelicans | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pelicans | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 957.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4596…12d5backed Pelicans | 1c | 916.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1a…7da3backed Pelicans | 7c | 871$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f2ecbacked Pelicans | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Pelicans | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pelicans | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…00f9backed Pelicans | 8c | 747$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pelicans | 7c | 739$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…4fa9backed Pelicans | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Pelicans | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…daa9backed Pelicans | 3c | 668.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pelicans | 7c | 651.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…7ac0backed Pelicans | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…8525backed Pelicans | 7c | 599.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…3943backed Pelicans | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Pelicans | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0858…945fbacked Pelicans | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Pelicans | 2c | 565.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…75efbacked Pelicans | 7c | 547.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pelicans | 7c | 546.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…5c6bbacked Pelicans | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Pelicans | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…94bebacked Pelicans | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…34b7backed Pelicans | 7c | 435$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…3bddbacked Pelicans | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…3a28backed Pelicans | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…0c97backed Pelicans | 7c | 425$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…39a1backed Pelicans | 7c | 423$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…f8d1backed Pelicans | 7c | 421$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0784…30d1backed Pelicans | 7c | 417$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…2b97backed Pelicans | 7c | 415$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…03babacked Pelicans | 7c | 414.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…eb1dbacked Pelicans | 7c | 413$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…4febbacked Pelicans | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…fe74backed Pelicans | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…3606backed Pelicans | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…d903backed Pelicans | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…cecebacked Pelicans | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…5c2cbacked Pelicans | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pelicansthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Pelicans won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Pelicans: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.