TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x579b…4a2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game - Winning Conference backed NFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$217.19
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47%+$88.44
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$169.31
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$276
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$352.56
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed William Gomis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.86
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$194.01
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$361
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,472
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$472
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$651.4
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$240.36
Thunder vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$324.15
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$350
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,297.9
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.