Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c99cf88b38a636a78262aef65a18fba645d6a87b537d30c0fb27f3ca91d4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dammof Damm, Nardi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Damm | 53c | 100,051$53,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,023.77 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Nardi | 47c | 41,609$19,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,595.37 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Nardi | 47c | 31,785$14,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,938.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Nardi | 47c | 9,860$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.2 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Damm | 79c | 9,412$7,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nardi | 17c | 8,529$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Nardi | 17c | 5,839$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nardi | 17c | 5,671$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.65 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Nardi | 18c | 5,576$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nardi | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nardi | 34c | 5,228$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Nardi | 44c | 5,191$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.07 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x241d…0dd6backed Nardi | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…4d33backed Damm | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nardi | 47c | 4,999$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.53 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Nardi | 47c | 4,247$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.99 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nardi | 47c | 4,185$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.96 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…414dbacked Damm | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ed…42c3backed Nardi | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Damm | 55c | 3,852$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Damm | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Damm | 53c | 3,681$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.95 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Damm | 79c | 3,205$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nardi | 46c | 3,094$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.04 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Damm | 54c | 3,000$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.45 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Damm | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…1234backed Damm | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…da8abacked Nardi | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…f44abacked Nardi | 18c | 2,958$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Nardi | 45c | 2,761$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.56 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Nardi | 17c | 2,625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nardi | 46c | 2,417$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.98 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Damm | 79c | 2,203$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Damm | 54c | 1,984$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.87 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Nardi | 47c | 1,955$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Damm | 53c | 1,955$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Damm | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Damm | 52c | 1,534$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.31 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nardi | 20c | 1,413$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Damm | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.22 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Damm | 69c | 1,179$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Damm | 54c | 1,152$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.71 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nardi | 22c | 1,115$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…1a66backed Damm | 54c | 1,090$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.26 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Damm | 79c | 1,087$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Nardi | 46c | 1,085$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.07 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Nardi | 45c | 1,057$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.41 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Nardi | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nardi | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Damm | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Damm | 56c | 988.02$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.02 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Nardi | 29c | 979.31$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nardi | 22c | 877$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Damm | 53c | 850.6$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.6 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nardi | 46c | 839.98$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.79 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Nardi | 12c | 749.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Damm | 56c | 717.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.31 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nardi | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579b…4a2bbacked Damm | 54c | 695.61$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Damm | 78c | 687.85$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Damm | 79c | 652.05$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nardi | 40c | 620.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Nardi | 43c | 527.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Damm | 57c | 524.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Damm | 53c | 503.42$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Nardi | 48c | 463.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Damm | 55c | 456.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Damm | 78c | 427.25$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Nardi | 24c | 422.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nardi | 23c | 414.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Damm | 77c | 412.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…fad8backed Nardi | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Damm | 69c | 386$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Damm | 80c | 366.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nardi | 47c | 361.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Nardi | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nardi | 20c | 346.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…a97cbacked Damm | 74c | 311.91$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Nardi | 48c | 309.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Damm | 70c | 308.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Nardi | 33c | 300.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…2061backed Nardi | 48c | 286.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Damm | 54c | 285.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.88 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…fe11backed Damm | 53c | 283.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nardi | 48c | 280$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Damm | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nardi | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nardi | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…b291backed Nardi | 24c | 260$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…db57backed Nardi | 31c | 252.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -6.4wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Damm | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nardi | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…7852backed Damm | 78c | 248.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Damm | 80c | 244.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Nardi | 47c | 243.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Damm | 54c | 240.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Damm | 52c | 226$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Nardi | 47c | 221.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Nardi | 19c | 218.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9973backed Damm | 53c | 216$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardithis page
- Damm vs. Nardi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Damm vs. Nardi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Damm vs NardiDamm won
- Set Handicap: Damm (-1.5) vs Nardi (+1.5)Damm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.