TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5acb…b291

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-80.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarasota: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Campinas: Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.61
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$166.66
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Zeynep Sonmez vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.19
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Hailey Baptiste vs Alexandra Ealabacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.76
Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+185.9%+$104.03
Dallas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.66
Fordham Rams vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.6%+$7.35
Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.4%+$14.67
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.51
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.65
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. South Alabama Jaguars (W)backed South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+71.2%+$13.93
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Old Dominion Monarchs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+118.1%+$48.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.