Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x378c2a0b08aa8c1a05b3802456c04a375a52766eebed97a539c728a2ce5ed652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Creighton Bluejays, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,967 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Butler Bulldogs | 9c | 10,369$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.54 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Butler Bulldogs | 7c | 4,019$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 21c | 3,762$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Butler Bulldogs | 10c | 3,281$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 2,889$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.87 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 1,659$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.58 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 1,584$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Butler Bulldogs | 51c | 1,520$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.29 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 68c | 1,465$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.01 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 1,200$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.98 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Creighton Bluejays | 39c | 1,189$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 20c | 1,172$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.11 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 928.97$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butler Bulldogs | 67c | 850.07$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Butler Bulldogs | 17c | 799.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Butler Bulldogs | 15c | 779.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Creighton Bluejays | 74c | 699.7$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 593.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.38 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Butler Bulldogs | 68c | 510.79$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.33 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Butler Bulldogs | 9c | 499.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 486.45$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Creighton Bluejays | 34c | 483.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Butler Bulldogs | 26c | 457.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 454.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Butler Bulldogs | 26c | 429.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…8e33backed Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 414.04$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 404.29$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.17 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 399.66$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 389.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Butler Bulldogs | 6c | 369.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 36c | 368.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 300.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Butler Bulldogs | 68c | 294.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 247.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Butler Bulldogs | 15c | 210.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Creighton Bluejays | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Creighton Bluejays | 43c | 199.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 167.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 164.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Butler Bulldogs | 15c | 162.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 151.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 148.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Butler Bulldogs | 69c | 143.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Creighton Bluejays | 41c | 127$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 125.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Butler Bulldogs | 32c | 116.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…2ec7backed Creighton Bluejays | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Butler Bulldogs | 65c | 101.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Butler Bulldogs | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 89.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Butler Bulldogs | 69c | 87.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…6cc3backed Creighton Bluejays | 77c | 87.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 87.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 86.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Creighton Bluejays | 36c | 82.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Butler Bulldogs | 60c | 82.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 76.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Creighton Bluejays | 32c | 68.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…4c4abacked Creighton Bluejays | 75c | 66.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Creighton Bluejays | 62c | 61.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 59.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 55.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Butler Bulldogs | 42c | 54.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Butler Bulldogs | 29c | 50.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Creighton Bluejays | 36c | 49.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Creighton Bluejays | 71c | 49.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 37c | 48.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Creighton Bluejays | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Butler Bulldogs | 67c | 44.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 42.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Butler Bulldogs | 27c | 41.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…7127backed Creighton Bluejays | 36c | 41.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…1d4cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 38.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Butler Bulldogs | 38c | 31.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 76c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Creighton Bluejays | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…b291backed Creighton Bluejays | 48c | 28.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 66c | 22.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Butler Bulldogs | 77c | 20.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Butler Bulldogs | 59c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…2b97backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 15.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1e…caa1backed Creighton Bluejays | 79c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Under won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-2.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.