Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6f4e8a3255f50aa1380044662388168d6b2f2738f3ec33a311b9136bfa4eea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martinezof Cerundolo, Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cerundolo | 33c | 26,344$8,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.66 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Martinez | 39c | 20,255$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,455.62 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martinez | 54c | 20,074$10,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cerundolo | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.99 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Martinez | 73c | 19,952$14,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.1 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Martinez | 39c | 17,270$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,544.07 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Martinez | 33c | 11,888$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,954.66 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Cerundolo | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cerundolo | 59c | 6,348$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.45 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo | 63c | 5,965$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Cerundolo | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Cerundolo | 33c | 4,489$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Martinez | 48c | 4,452$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martinez | 42c | 4,442$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Martinez | 40c | 4,082$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.38 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Martinez | 70c | 3,192$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.09 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Cerundolo | 61c | 2,853$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.92 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Martinez | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cerundolo | 61c | 2,472$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.92 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Martinez | 37c | 2,397$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.03 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Cerundolo | 51c | 2,357$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Cerundolo | 64c | 2,162$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Martinez | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Martinez | 47c | 1,978$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.18 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Cerundolo | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Martinez | 47c | 1,530$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.94 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cerundolo | 61c | 1,374$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.14 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Cerundolo | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Cerundolo | 62c | 1,218$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.98 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cerundolo | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Cerundolo | 69c | 1,027$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Martinez | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Cerundolo | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Cerundolo | 22c | 900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Cerundolo | 35c | 848.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Cerundolo | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Cerundolo | 75c | 761.28$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cerundolo | 61c | 680.33$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo | 57c | 653.75$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Martinez | 54c | 631$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.3 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Martinez | 31c | 580.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Cerundolo | 39c | 547.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martinez | 57c | 533.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Martinez | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Cerundolo | 61c | 488.23$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Martinez | 50c | 426.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Cerundolo | 63c | 419.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Martinez | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Cerundolo | 61c | 389.62$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Cerundolo | 66c | 377.2$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.59 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Cerundolo | 19c | 372.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Cerundolo | 63c | 359.83$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Cerundolo | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Martinez | 38c | 330.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Cerundolo | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Martinez | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martinez | 36c | 292$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Cerundolo | 62c | 290.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Cerundolo | 62c | 270.27$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Cerundolo | 65c | 262.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Martinez | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Cerundolo | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Cerundolo | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Martinez | 54c | 233$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Martinez | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.53 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Martinez | 29c | 208.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Cerundolo | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cerundolo | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Cerundolo | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Cerundolo | 66c | 191.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cerundolo | 59c | 190.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Martinez | 35c | 179.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Cerundolo | 72c | 164.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Cerundolo | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Cerundolo | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Cerundolo | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acb…b291backed Martinez | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Martinez | 75c | 159.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cerundolo | 63c | 154.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Cerundolo | 68c | 154.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Martinez | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…0b35backed Cerundolo | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Martinez | 38c | 136.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cerundolo | 37c | 126.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Cerundolo | 61c | 123.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Cerundolo | 61c | 123.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Martinez | 39c | 114$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Martinez | 39c | 108.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Martinez | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Martinez | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Cerundolo | 31c | 98.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Cerundolo | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Cerundolo | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Cerundolo | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…f78cbacked Cerundolo | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…d200backed Cerundolo | 64c | 82.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cerundolo | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Martinez | 38c | 81.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Cerundolo | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Cerundolo | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinezthis page
- Cerundolo vs. Martinez: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Martinez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Martinez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs MartinezMartinez won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)Martinez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.