NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbaecb9c6393b119f4cca78fd5dfa2a99486d50ec971b8e56c40ddf4b6422a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,889,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,338,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,889,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 793 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 31c | 112,227$34,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,790.38 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 71c | 88,140$62,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,598.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…8e9fbacked Mavericks | 8c | 75,511$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 30c | 60,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.95 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Mavericks | 20c | 43,212$8,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,567.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Mavericks | 0c | 33,765$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Mavericks | 5c | 32,010$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.14 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 9c | 31,246$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 70c | 29,186$20,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,807.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 8c | 21,805$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.39 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 72c | 20,598$14,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 11c | 18,956$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 4c | 16,208$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.02 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks | 18c | 16,067$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.89 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Magic | 77c | 15,053$11,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.8 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Mavericks | 30c | 14,800$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.97 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…1395backed Mavericks | 10c | 14,672$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 2c | 14,330$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.15 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Magic | 70c | 14,029$9,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.57 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Magic | 72c | 13,685$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mavericks | 21c | 13,305$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.67 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 30c | 13,198$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.15 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Mavericks | 2c | 12,961$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 28c | 12,205$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.43 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Magic | 69c | 11,910$8,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Mavericks | 27c | 11,821$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.79 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 78c | 11,042$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.38 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Mavericks | 30c | 11,032$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Magic | 71c | 11,000$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.96 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Magic | 74c | 10,882$8,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.07 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Magic | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Mavericks | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Mavericks | 30c | 9,602$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Magic | 79c | 9,296$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.75 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Mavericks | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 4c | 8,920$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Magic | 70c | 8,904$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.2 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Magic | 70c | 8,864$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.19 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 8,639$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Mavericks | 24c | 8,329$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.64 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 77c | 7,290$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Mavericks | 29c | 6,780$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.21 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Mavericks | 30c | 6,200$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.96 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Mavericks | 16c | 6,000$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks | 29c | 5,955$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.96 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Mavericks | 29c | 5,819$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 8c | 5,677$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks | 30c | 5,548$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.43 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Mavericks | 31c | 5,411$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Mavericks | 26c | 5,250$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Mavericks | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Mavericks | 29c | 4,788$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.1 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Mavericks | 31c | 4,638$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.9 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Magic | 76c | 4,627$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.56 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Magic | 70c | 4,579$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.84 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Mavericks | 22c | 4,397$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.01 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 29c | 4,298$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.54 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…6b8ebacked Mavericks | 30c | 4,263$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…b815backed Mavericks | 1c | 4,161$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Magic | 72c | 4,097$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.07 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c5f8backed Mavericks | 22c | 4,060$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Mavericks | 4c | 4,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Mavericks | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Mavericks | 23c | 3,828$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Magic | 70c | 3,437$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.1 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…c6f9backed Mavericks | 30c | 3,324$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Magic | 69c | 3,240$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 5c | 3,229$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Mavericks | 8c | 3,108$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…da55backed Mavericks | 30c | 3,060$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Mavericks | 23c | 2,853$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.83 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 70c | 2,806$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.71 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 1c | 2,671$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Magic | 71c | 2,600$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.03 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…96f2backed Magic | 70c | 2,553$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.96 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Magic | 70c | 2,522$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.52 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Magic | 71c | 2,491$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.42 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Magic | 69c | 2,486$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.44 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Mavericks | 12c | 2,379$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Magic | 72c | 2,317$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 28c | 2,314$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.39 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Magic | 77c | 2,311$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.63 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…a0e3backed Magic | 69c | 2,300$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…b430backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,271$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Magic | 70c | 2,268$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.12 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Magic | 76c | 2,121$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.02 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Mavericks | 27c | 2,060$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.39 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Magic | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Magic | 73c | 1,984$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,982$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Magic | 70c | 1,982$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 69c | 1,964$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…39edbacked Mavericks | 30c | 1,959$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.17 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 69c | 1,900$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Mavericksthis page
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.