NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42c1ccd5cd83f296d70e87c9e13f0caec1df7b21e5abe9e02098bb20b8def90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 51c | 141,499$72,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,124.41 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 49c | 61,224$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,224.49 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 19,979$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,789.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 18,961$9,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,648.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 18,596$9,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,111.93 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 49c | 12,182$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.86 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 11,492$5,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 10,727$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.62 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 9,269$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.47 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 48c | 8,602$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.19 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 6,141$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Over | 49c | 5,418$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 4,845$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 57c | 3,352$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.57 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 49c | 2,640$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.8 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 59c | 2,611$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.21 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,944$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.83 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,786$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 1,461$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.19 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 1,461$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.19 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 52c | 1,461$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.19 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Over | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 54c | 1,161$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.09 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 929.26$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.63 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Over | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 887$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 50c | 885.94$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.97 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Over | 50c | 873$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 49c | 829.45$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.21 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 680.62$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 556.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…f1c3backed Under | 43c | 495.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 49c | 459.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.46 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 38c | 414.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 404.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 329.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…139cbacked Over | 49c | 317.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 24c | 312.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 225.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 38c | 220$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Over | 38c | 220$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Over | 38c | 220$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…4612backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…63b5backed Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 15c | 193.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cf…b815backed Under | 8c | 192.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…8ac3backed Under | 29c | 191.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 182.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 33c | 169.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 34c | 169$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 40c | 167.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 49c | 163.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Under | 53c | 161.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Under | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 150.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 48c | 150.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 38c | 137$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 38c | 132.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 51c | 127.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 127.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 123.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 51c | 121.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 101.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 21c | 101.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Over | 57c | 94.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 94.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 50c | 91.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…7878backed Under | 27c | 89.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 36c | 87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…e158backed Over | 50c | 84.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 38c | 78.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 42c | 77.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5this page
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. MavericksMagic won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.