TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under51c141,499$72,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,124.414957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over49c61,224$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,224.4927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c19,979$10,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,789.61,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c18,961$9,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,648.169,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c18,596$9,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,111.9332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over49c13,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,63024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over49c12,182$5,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,212.8610860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c11,492$5,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c10,727$5,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,363.6254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,269$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,636.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over48c8,602$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.1970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c6,141$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.112,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Over49c5,418$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c4,845$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over57c3,352$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.571,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over49c2,640$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under59c2,611$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.217337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,944$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97021550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,786$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c1,461$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.191,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c1,461$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.1990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c1,461$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.1929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Under54c1,161$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.095655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c929.26$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6321247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Over62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3427147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c887$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over50c885.94$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.975839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over50c873$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.56746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under49c829.45$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2119434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c680.62$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.581,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c556.64$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9bf…f1c3backed Under43c495.75$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over49c459.72$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Under38c414.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.558339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over49c404.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c329.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e34…139cbacked Over49c317.34$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under24c312.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12033748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c225.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5840344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over38c220$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Over38c220$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.48040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Over38c220$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.47441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.181827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Under47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.827441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7648957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over50c199.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b7…63b5backed Under51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978644.2%38 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under15c193.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cf…b815backed Under8c192.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf89…8ac3backed Under29c191.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.841850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c182.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.11,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over33c169.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over34c169$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under40c167.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over49c163.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5536045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Under53c161.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.525736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Under51c152.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6510249%50 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c150.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c150.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over38c137$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under38c132.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.491,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under51c127.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0212159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c127.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.433,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c123.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under51c121.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9833554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.412637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3518552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c101.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under21c101.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1511826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6726639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6717748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Over57c94.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.176962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c94.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over50c91.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.87164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Under27c89.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.963256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over36c87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3531238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee0…e158backed Over50c84.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.393135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.613837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Over49c79.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.367642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under38c78.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under42c77.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.