NBA · resolved market

Spread: Magic (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf780e2c9f4f3839923258ac1c89b1d18bf735770ba5224bfa72128c0c9f7796c

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Magic, Mavericks
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $298,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $312,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Mavericks	53c	55,287$29,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,411.6	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,499.84	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks	8c	41,793$3,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,183.37	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic	47c	41,230$19,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,808.45	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	49c	33,270$16,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,084.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Mavericks	50c	31,862$15,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,775.19	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	60c	22,355$13,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,894.92	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Magic	47c	20,523$9,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,877.02	701	47.8%335 W · 366 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks	26c	9,556$2,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,484.56	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…a08abacked Mavericks	1c	9,338$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.03	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic	48c	6,229$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,235.92	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Magic	47c	5,192$2,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.08	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Magic	47c	5,192$2,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.08	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic	49c	4,400$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	53c	4,305$2,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.32	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	53c	4,089$2,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic	58c	3,490$2,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,471.68	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Mavericks	55c	2,672$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,459.15	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Magic	46c	2,493$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.97	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Mavericks	22c	2,339$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.86	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+11.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Magic	48c	2,057$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.73	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Mavericks	53c	2,047$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.91	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Magic	58c	1,857$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.54	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Mavericks	9c	1,732$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.43	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Mavericks	51c	1,510$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.95	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magic	59c	1,432$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.1	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Magic	73c	1,340$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.29	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Magic	46c	1,295$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.37	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks	53c	1,117$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.8	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Magic	46c	1,052$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.94	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Mavericks	52c	1,041$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.32	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Mavericks	2c	926.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-68%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Magic	47c	902.78$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.93	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Mavericks	52c	797.51$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.43	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…9f3abacked Mavericks	54c	720.3$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.96	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Magic	48c	618.85$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.75	110	33.6%37 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Mavericks	54c	548.71$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.96	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Magic	48c	540.44$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Magic	46c	525.87$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.97	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Magic	47c	463.5$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.66	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Mavericks	31c	448.04$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.33	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic	50c	420.2$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.22	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Magic	71c	415.18$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.4	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Magic	47c	414.17$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.56	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Magic	46c	370.56$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.1	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Magic	47c	369.34$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.75	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…09cfbacked Mavericks	54c	360.15$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Mavericks	50c	356.09$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.19	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Magic	77c	324.53$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.44	600	49.8%299 W · 301 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic	46c	307.17$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks	53c	297.77$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.59	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Magic	50c	291$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.5	249	49%122 W · 127 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Magic	47c	289.49$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.43	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Mavericks	50c	289.17$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.53	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Mavericks	53c	287.79$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.08	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Mavericks	51c	281.47$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.55	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Mavericks	15c	269.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.35	82	50%41 W · 41 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Mavericks	50c	265.27$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.18	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks	6c	254.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mavericks	53c	250.58$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.81	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Magic	48c	238.13$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.83	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Mavericks	50c	237.06$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.39	54	63%34 W · 20 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Magic	50c	232.8$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.4	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…df66backed Magic	73c	221.82$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.41	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Magic	46c	210.35$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic	46c	210.35$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Magic	47c	206$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.18	139	56.1%78 W · 61 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Magic	47c	206$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.18	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Magic	46c	205.81$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.14	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Mavericks	55c	194.6$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.03	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Magic	46c	190.2$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.71	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mavericks	53c	185.61$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.38	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic	49c	183.04$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.77	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Magic	47c	176.07$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.88	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Magic	65c	175.73$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.17	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Magic	47c	169.44$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.8	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22cf…b815backed Mavericks	7c	165.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Mavericks	61c	160.83$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.64	209	63.2%132 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Mavericks	54c	148.97$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.85	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c44…5eefbacked Magic	49c	148.83$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks	54c	144.06$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.79	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic	56c	139.23$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.71	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Mavericks	52c	138.67$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.11	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Mavericks	53c	138.08$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	-18.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Magic	46c	136.73$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.83	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Magic	53c	133.94$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.32	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Magic	46c	127.72$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.97	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked Magic	46c	127.72$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.97	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Mavericks	54c	126.05$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.07	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Magic	47c	121.11$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.19	164	50%82 W · 82 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Mavericks	52c	118.79$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.77	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Mavericks	13c	118.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Magic	63c	115.97$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.22	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Mavericks	54c	114.03$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.45	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Magic	45c	111$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.05	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Magic	46c	108.41$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.06	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Magic	49c	106.63$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.7	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Magic	54c	105.73$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.69	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+11.8wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Magic	47c	105.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.99	679	49.8%338 W · 341 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Magic	46c	103.52$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.09	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	-9.2wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Magic (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event