NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3a6de9df948893f773243d7e2659af4f5c885f6f4cf78c225579c19f581030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Mavericks | 49c | 68,232$33,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,736.78 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Mavericks | 50c | 59,908$29,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,954.12 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Magic | 50c | 38,215$19,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,107.51 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 52c | 17,980$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,679.32 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 16,926$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 51c | 12,133$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.92 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 50c | 11,376$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 50c | 9,145$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Magic | 51c | 6,215$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.32 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 63c | 6,213$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.1 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Magic | 62c | 5,200$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d59cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 4,257$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,005$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Magic | 52c | 3,788$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 3,541$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,300$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.95 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 32c | 2,088$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.21 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 44c | 1,728$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed Magic | 52c | 1,665$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 50c | 1,619$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.47 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 50c | 1,610$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.95 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Magic | 51c | 1,494$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.43 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 33c | 1,130$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 60c | 1,103$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,080$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,052$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.03 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Mavericks | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 38c | 988.14$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Magic | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Magic | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Magic | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Magic | 54c | 894.27$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.95 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 835.38$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 50c | 834.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.29 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Mavericks | 50c | 785.7$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.85 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Mavericks | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Mavericks | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Magic | 50c | 585.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Magic | 50c | 494.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.41 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Mavericks | 50c | 494.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Magic | 51c | 465.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.29 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Magic | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Magic | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Mavericks | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Magic | 51c | 386.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Magic | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Mavericks | 18c | 366.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 50c | 342.35$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 52c | 333.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 46c | 287.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 48c | 275.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Magic | 51c | 274.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Mavericks | 37c | 270.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mavericks | 49c | 250.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 48c | 244.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 50c | 223.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Magic | 51c | 199.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Magic | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Mavericks | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Magic | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Mavericks | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Mavericks | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Mavericks | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Magic | 52c | 183.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Mavericks | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Magic | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Magic | 52c | 135.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Magic | 52c | 127.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Magic | 54c | 124.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Mavericks | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 113.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Magic | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Mavericks | 50c | 110.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Magic | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Mavericks | 20c | 99.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Magic | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Mavericks | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Magic | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Mavericks | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Magic | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Magic vs. MavericksMagic won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Magic vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.