MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab5da8d6f06f777798a759046e0760a72be9c6d9d54be8b31feede35006d147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,624,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,927,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,624,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 385,899$223,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,077.75 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 235,133$136,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,755.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 232,639$97,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,708.46 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 215,071$90,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,663.38 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 136,671$57,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,100.25 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 58,384$34,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,732.57 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 41,992$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 41,418$19,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,553.48 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 33,066$19,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,887.58 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 30,378$12,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,454.81 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 21,998$9,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,211.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 19,717$9,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,858.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 17,636$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,652.17 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 15,657$9,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.87 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 14,478$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.76 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 11,029$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.99 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 11,000$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 8,687$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.46 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 8,685$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.85 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 7,442$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.85 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 7,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 6,756$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.69 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 6,756$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.69 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 6,680$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.75 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 5,943$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.63 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Chicago White Sox | 11c | 5,890$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 5,495$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 5,361$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.91 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 5,216$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.91 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 5,188$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 5,170$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.81 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 5,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.97 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 4,878$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.45 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,681$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.11 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 4,636$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.83 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 4,587$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,268$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.01 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 4,081$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 3,851$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 3,825$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 3,490$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.27 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 3,461$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 3,391$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.13 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 3,306$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,060$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.92 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…74e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 2,724$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,688$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 2,589$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,492$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.78 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…25b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,490$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,480$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.73 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,455$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.36 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,419$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.03 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,351$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.4 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,307$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.88 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,292$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.25 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 2,226$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,222$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.9 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 2,215$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 2,163$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 2,065$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,051$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,021$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.22 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,998$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.18 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,968$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.71 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,872$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.04 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 1,864$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.47 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 1,863$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,822$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,802$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,609$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 7c | 1,466$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,462$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.12 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,425$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,397$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.74 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,380$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.66 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,356$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.51 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,317$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,292$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.78 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,259$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.31 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,256$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.33 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,176$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.76 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…e0f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,153$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.62 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.9 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…494abacked Chicago White Sox | 73c | 1,104$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,083$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.53 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,076$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.67 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,065$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.84 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…c44ebacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.