TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x279b…2365

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Bertrandbacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
National Bank Open: Carol Zhao vs Magda Linettebacked Carol Zhao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.61
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
ITF Gran Canaria: Emma Lene vs Francesca Curmibacked Francesca Curmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$8.16
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonsecabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94%+$10.9
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$8.1
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Yi Zhoubacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.92
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclikbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$10.27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$36.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+316.7%+$145.67
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$172.68
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$54.03
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+203%+$136.03
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+93.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Panathinaikos vs. Real Madridbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Manresa vs. Unicajabacked Unicaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.8%+$25.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$10.66
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+265.2%+$53.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$76.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$51.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.