Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a54970e495b845a3fdf8227d0a8c971accb930ba0b2c0868707f04ec68b8014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Lehecka, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lehecka | 43c | 1,619$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Zverev | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Lehecka | 44c | 1,117$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.42 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Lehecka | 40c | 675.05$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Zverev | 65c | 610.68$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Lehecka | 35c | 581.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.53 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Zverev | 65c | 444.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lehecka | 35c | 430.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zverev | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Zverev | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lehecka | 35c | 394$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 61c | 379.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lehecka | 39c | 333.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Lehecka | 42c | 330.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Zverev | 58c | 330$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Zverev | 60c | 322.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Zverev | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev | 58c | 206.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Zverev | 59c | 202.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Zverev | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zverev | 58c | 154.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a3…52dbbacked Zverev | 65c | 130.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Zverev | 64c | 105.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lehecka | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Lehecka | 64c | 96.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Zverev | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zverev | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lehecka | 36c | 93.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Zverev | 64c | 92.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lehecka | 48c | 83.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Zverev | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lehecka | 36c | 80.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Zverev | 76c | 77.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Lehecka | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zverev | 70c | 70.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lehecka | 33c | 63.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7399backed Lehecka | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zverev | 62c | 40.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Lehecka | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Lehecka | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Zverev | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lehecka | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…db93backed Zverev | 70c | 24.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…2365backed Lehecka | 51c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Zverev | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevthis page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.