Tennis · resolved market
Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4a7dab4484e248b594bc2a9e3e080ee3faea5160312dbec9928aa7b236e89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 2,254$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.4 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,003$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 36c | 999.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.97 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 800.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 634.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 503.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 399.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 316.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…7c7dbacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 192.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 141.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 122.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under 3.5 | 42c | 117.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 64.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over 3.5 | 49c | 63.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over 3.5 | 45c | 60.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 55.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over 3.5 | 56c | 43.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 42.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 41.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under 3.5 | 69c | 19.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…fd54backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)Lehecka won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.