Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38645e4bb73a772bfef679d693e39c298797406aa22369b24c06a2e45c0607d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Zverev, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Zverev | 64c | 27,854$17,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,826.32 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Lehecka | 36c | 24,177$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,477.38 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…ad92backed Lehecka | 71c | 2,102$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lehecka | 38c | 2,088$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.53 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Lehecka | 72c | 2,080$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Zverev | 34c | 1,800$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 290 | 45.9%133 W · 157 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Zverev | 29c | 1,713$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Zverev | 29c | 1,397$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.38 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Zverev | 47c | 1,010$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lehecka | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.25 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Lehecka | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lehecka | 66c | 846.29$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lehecka | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 28c | 803.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.86 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Lehecka | 71c | 702.51$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Lehecka | 65c | 659.26$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zverev | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lehecka | 36c | 516.67$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zverev | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev | 69c | 495.93$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…6538backed Zverev | 62c | 463.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Lehecka | 32c | 430.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Lehecka | 36c | 424.72$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.82 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lehecka | 52c | 400$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.31 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…dcdebacked Lehecka | 66c | 359.47$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Lehecka | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Lehecka | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Zverev | 66c | 249.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lehecka | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Zverev | 35c | 238.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Zverev | 69c | 215.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Lehecka | 49c | 204.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Lehecka | 44c | 202.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Zverev | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Zverev | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Zverev | 70c | 178.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…36f6backed Lehecka | 71c | 177.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…e595backed Zverev | 55c | 172.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lehecka | 37c | 166.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Lehecka | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Lehecka | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…a962backed Zverev | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Zverev | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -8.2wins | -0.37per pick | 56cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Lehecka | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Lehecka | 38c | 134.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Lehecka | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lehecka | 71c | 129.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Lehecka | 66c | 118.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Zverev | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…359dbacked Lehecka | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Zverev | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Lehecka | 64c | 99.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Lehecka | 37c | 95.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Lehecka | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Zverev | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Lehecka | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…24d5backed Lehecka | 38c | 77.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Zverev | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zverev | 60c | 72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Zverev | 59c | 71.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Lehecka | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Zverev | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Lehecka | 65c | 58.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Lehecka | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Lehecka | 31c | 52.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Zverev | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Zverev | 52c | 36.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Lehecka | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Zverev | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 65.5%131 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zverev | 35c | 31.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Lehecka | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zverev | 72c | 26.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Lehecka | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Zverev | 69c | 15.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Lehecka vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevLehecka won
- Set 4 Winner: Lehecka vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.