TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bfe…4a26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.15
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$62.54
ITF Southaven: Clement Chidekh vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.93
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$218.55
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Estoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$544.99
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$558.97
Estoril Open: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$253.36
Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cinabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$711.43
Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.85
Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.66
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Generali Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalskibacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Generali Open, Qualification: Nico Hipfl vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.67
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$56.68
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$88.44
Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$59.24
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs Ferybacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Lehecka (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.74
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$80.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.8
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.9
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$242.25
FC Vaduz vs. Atlétic Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.66
Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$81.93
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$119.72
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$128.27
Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.56
Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.76
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.05
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$830.86
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$412.36
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.36
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.07
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.32
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$71.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$48.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.