TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Feryof Arthur Fery, James Duckworth
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$304,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9d3…079fbacked James Duckworth53c17,481$9,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,236.8148555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed James Duckworth45c16,407$7,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,309.638,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Arthur Fery44c10,369$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.141,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x492b…45eebacked James Duckworth46c9,027$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.8716349.7%81 W · 82 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed James Duckworth56c8,212$4,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.721,14341.3%472 W · 671 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Arthur Fery44c8,130$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.3141131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed James Duckworth23c7,250$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67513253%70 W · 62 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed James Duckworth50c7,175$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.282,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Arthur Fery50c6,863$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.3710553.3%56 W · 49 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Arthur Fery48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60013239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Duckworth51c4,568$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.398,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed James Duckworth48c4,430$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.279748.5%47 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed James Duckworth29c4,350$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.511143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…bc0dbacked James Duckworth48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9203250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Arthur Fery52c3,850$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8481,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Arthur Fery52c3,677$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.994,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Arthur Fery44c3,044$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.2953942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fery48c3,032$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.975,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Arthur Fery55c2,782$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.982,00453.2%1,067 W · 937 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x805f…54a4backed Arthur Fery72c2,319$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.463751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Fery61c2,227$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.22,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked James Duckworth50c1,983$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.344,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Arthur Fery51c1,932$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.4615448.7%75 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed James Duckworth55c1,869$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.4834145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Arthur Fery52c1,826$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.5442042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c1…94d7backed James Duckworth49c1,730$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.861844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed James Duckworth37c1,625$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4238033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked James Duckworth34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arthur Fery52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Arthur Fery63c1,459$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1543558.9%256 W · 179 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Fery40c1,456$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.743,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Arthur Fery64c1,426$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2837959.1%224 W · 155 L+26.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked James Duckworth48c1,378$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.131,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed James Duckworth47c1,222$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.361,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6387…95dcbacked Arthur Fery52c1,179$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.042755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked James Duckworth54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009067.8%61 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Arthur Fery50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50033755.2%186 W · 151 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked James Duckworth51c988.27$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50822152.5%116 W · 105 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Arthur Fery51c944.32$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.721,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed James Duckworth59c932.2$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,02049.9%509 W · 511 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed James Duckworth54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024052.5%126 W · 114 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked James Duckworth54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011060.9%67 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Arthur Fery59c925.65$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5261940.7%252 W · 367 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a2…a5ffbacked Arthur Fery49c908.33$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.8315135.1%53 W · 98 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Arthur Fery51c900$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44253044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed James Duckworth45c839.31$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.699,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked James Duckworth49c820$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.860042%252 W · 348 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Arthur Fery57c810.67$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5930563.9%195 W · 110 L+34.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked James Duckworth51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40851344.4%228 W · 285 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Arthur Fery46c787.72$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.541,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Arthur Fery57c783.72$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33738257.6%220 W · 162 L+19.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Arthur Fery62c783.2$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.534,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Arthur Fery57c773.61$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.6535258.2%205 W · 147 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked James Duckworth44c767.92$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.021,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Arthur Fery57c748.91$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0336260.5%219 W · 143 L+27.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed James Duckworth61c738.51$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4913754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Arthur Fery57c736.56$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7238359.8%229 W · 154 L+24.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Arthur Fery57c730.95$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3137159.6%221 W · 150 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Arthur Fery57c726.46$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3834658.1%201 W · 145 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Fery40c699.05$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.046,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Fery57c665.34$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Arthur Fery46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.177131%22 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked James Duckworth48c640.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31090454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f29…2814backed Arthur Fery45c620$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3414553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arthur Fery53c609.99$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1227744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed James Duckworth48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.996,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked James Duckworth52c579.17$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.780558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Arthur Fery72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5667757.6%390 W · 287 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed James Duckworth54c543$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2225546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed James Duckworth52c540.53$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.468,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Fery57c531.34$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Arthur Fery71c530$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.734854%188 W · 160 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d32…25a8backed Arthur Fery64c521.7$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.168267.1%55 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed James Duckworth47c515.14$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.561,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed James Duckworth70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505050%25 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Arthur Fery52c461.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5444056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Arthur Fery56c442.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6322442.9%96 W · 128 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Arthur Fery66c431.24$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6222951.1%117 W · 112 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Arthur Fery53c426.98$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5311858.5%69 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a0…359dbacked Arthur Fery46c426.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.261747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Arthur Fery52c415.6$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4925544.3%113 W · 142 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0066…1e90backed James Duckworth52c403$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Arthur Fery52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Arthur Fery49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed James Duckworth43c397.29$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.327,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Arthur Fery46c393.3$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.311,09052.6%573 W · 517 L-4.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked James Duckworth52c388$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.981,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Arthur Fery52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6226551.3%136 W · 129 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Arthur Fery64c380$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.478953%418 W · 371 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Arthur Fery52c377.34$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1315654.5%85 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Arthur Fery52c377.17$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.049948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Arthur Fery40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Arthur Fery67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.131,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Arthur Fery52c370$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.351441.8%215 W · 299 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed James Duckworth44c356.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15717842.7%76 W · 102 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed James Duckworth24c356.01$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8312641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ac…7f76backed James Duckworth49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Arthur Fery65c334.59$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2485249.6%423 W · 429 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…46c6backed Arthur Fery57c298.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.253951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed James Duckworth51c278$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.051,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.