CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797eb53c82f37a69c7b989c321733971505087c80fef299ab515c1766235a6b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof Iowa Stormboar, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked LAG Gaming | 78c | 19,419$15,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.16 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LAG Gaming | 77c | 6,564$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.31 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 6,222$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.71 | 195 | 29.2%57 W · 138 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Iowa Stormboar | 23c | 4,250$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.42 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Iowa Stormboar | 21c | 3,122$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.64 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Iowa Stormboar | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 2,906$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.94 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa Stormboar | 19c | 2,347$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.87 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 16c | 2,132$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 1,862$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.73 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Iowa Stormboar | 23c | 1,453$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 1,206$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 1,196$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed LAG Gaming | 78c | 1,027$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Iowa Stormboar | 25c | 1,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed LAG Gaming | 76c | 943.27$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 866.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed LAG Gaming | 74c | 702.03$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 672.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed LAG Gaming | 78c | 649.35$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Iowa Stormboar | 2c | 629$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…7d38backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 601.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed LAG Gaming | 79c | 505.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 324 | 61.4%199 W · 125 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Iowa Stormboar | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Iowa Stormboar | 26c | 450.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 346 | 26.9%93 W · 253 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed LAG Gaming | 78c | 447.57$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed LAG Gaming | 76c | 417$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked LAG Gaming | 75c | 327.13$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed LAG Gaming | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 299.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Iowa Stormboar | 5c | 294.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Iowa Stormboar | 32c | 276$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed LAG Gaming | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Iowa Stormboar | 25c | 241$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked LAG Gaming | 78c | 236.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 141 | 68.8%97 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Iowa Stormboar | 25c | 202$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed LAG Gaming | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Iowa Stormboar | 21c | 150.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed LAG Gaming | 76c | 147.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed LAG Gaming | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…1340backed Iowa Stormboar | 9c | 114.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…9af4backed Iowa Stormboar | 12c | 108.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Iowa Stormboar | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…d352backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…c56bbacked Iowa Stormboar | 21c | 90.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Iowa Stormboar | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Iowa Stormboar | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 78.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Iowa Stormboar | 14c | 74.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Iowa Stormboar | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Iowa Stormboar | 22c | 64.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 59.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed LAG Gaming | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…bc54backed Iowa Stormboar | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked LAG Gaming | 79c | 49.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed LAG Gaming | 75c | 48.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed Iowa Stormboar | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked LAG Gaming | 76c | 40.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked LAG Gaming | 57c | 33.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed LAG Gaming | 76c | 27.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed LAG Gaming | 80c | 25.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked LAG Gaming | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 230 | 37.8%87 W · 143 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked LAG Gaming | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed LAG Gaming | 79c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LAG Gaming | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed LAG Gaming | 79c | 19.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LAG Gaming | 77c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked LAG Gaming | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…6d95backed LAG Gaming | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLAG Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
- Map Handicap: LAG (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)LAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.