CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ca50a295764b87f652aa2fb980b807c48d1f58a7bf2f3569fd3bbd75a61ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof Iowa Stormboar, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Iowa Stormboar | 10c | 1,209$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked LAG Gaming | 73c | 1,206$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Iowa Stormboar | 18c | 831.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Iowa Stormboar | 27c | 558$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Stormboar | 17c | 303.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Iowa Stormboar | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 426 | 31.5%134 W · 292 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed LAG Gaming | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iowa Stormboar | 24c | 187.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LAG Gaming | 77c | 187$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Iowa Stormboar | 29c | 177.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Iowa Stormboar | 26c | 167.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Iowa Stormboar | 20c | 61.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LAG Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Iowa Stormboar | 29c | 48.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked LAG Gaming | 80c | 45.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Iowa Stormboar | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Iowa Stormboar | 27c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked LAG Gaming | 68c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked LAG Gaming | 65c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed LAG Gaming | 75c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsLAG Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
- Map Handicap: LAG (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)LAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.