CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LAG (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29e514225a3f5a74a24fc29aaaf5a67cad72ed7190b007f87ac81fcbe7af9eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof LAG Gaming, Iowa Stormboar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked LAG Gaming | 54c | 3,684$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.49 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed LAG Gaming | 59c | 1,612$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.04 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked LAG Gaming | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Iowa Stormboar | 47c | 716.62$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.85 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Iowa Stormboar | 47c | 635.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 631.03$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa Stormboar | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Iowa Stormboar | 44c | 472.18$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed LAG Gaming | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed LAG Gaming | 56c | 293.6$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Iowa Stormboar | 47c | 195$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed LAG Gaming | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed Iowa Stormboar | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Iowa Stormboar | 41c | 101.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Iowa Stormboar | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Iowa Stormboar | 43c | 93.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked LAG Gaming | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Iowa Stormboar | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Iowa Stormboar | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked LAG Gaming | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Iowa Stormboar | 48c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LAG (-1.5) vs Iowa Stormboar (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsLAG Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLAG Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.