Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3f3ff27550c22a56d6b5a352644fc20ea30a52936a0668337fec797f940f314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Cobolli, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cobolli | 33c | 3,719$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.14 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Fery | 59c | 2,488$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.96 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Cobolli | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Fery | 56c | 1,215$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.82 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Cobolli | 52c | 1,211$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Fery | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Fery | 48c | 918.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.19 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Fery | 47c | 629.29$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.42 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…6acfbacked Cobolli | 20c | 584.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…a708backed Cobolli | 55c | 425.2$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Fery | 50c | 422.6$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Fery | 21c | 416.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.94 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Cobolli | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Cobolli | 37c | 260.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cobolli | 43c | 244.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Cobolli | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cobolli | 49c | 207.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…929bbacked Fery | 50c | 197.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cobolli | 30c | 182.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fery | 40c | 161.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fery | 54c | 156.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fery | 50c | 156.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fery | 60c | 153.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Cobolli | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…6362backed Cobolli | 14c | 138.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cobolli | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Fery | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Cobolli | 59c | 128.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Fery | 37c | 124.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Cobolli | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Cobolli | 54c | 114.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fery | 58c | 108.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Cobolli | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…73adbacked Cobolli | 60c | 99.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Fery | 54c | 83.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Fery | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Cobolli | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cobolli | 42c | 54.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked Fery | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Cobolli | 30c | 44.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Cobolli | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Cobolli | 36c | 42.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Cobolli | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cobolli | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cobolli | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Fery | 46c | 35.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Cobolli | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…4b61backed Fery | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs Ferythis page
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.