Tennis · resolved market
Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06976c851128bfe91313867f8a9ac02267a1bb2d5625fb04aa1a179b10b33bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 4,770$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.13 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 2,533$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.48 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 2,311$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 765.6$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 739.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under 3.5 | 38c | 499.95$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.97 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 488.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.5 | 26c | 351.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 347.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.97 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 253.13$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 219.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under 3.5 | 64c | 208.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 203.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under 3.5 | 43c | 175.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 161.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 159.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…39e1backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under 3.5 | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 106.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 102$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over 3.5 | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 95.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 35c | 95.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 89.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under 3.5 | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…938abacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.5 | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 65.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 61.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 56.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5c85backed Over 3.5 | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over 3.5 | 69c | 49.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Over 3.5 | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 41.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 39.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…e91fbacked Over 3.5 | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…fb13backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Over 3.5 | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f2…25edbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 32.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over 3.5 | 71c | 25.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…ed60backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.