Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bce0966c2696e446cb4c9d3c5f106630bb7e296fa2d9461d73bd644b7f50ef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Cobolli, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Fery | 70c | 2,799$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.81 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cobolli | 31c | 2,466$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.95 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Fery | 69c | 2,306$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.76 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Cobolli | 31c | 1,255$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery | 69c | 1,190$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked Cobolli | 30c | 511.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cobolli | 31c | 419$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Cobolli | 31c | 401.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Fery | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fery | 68c | 341.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…06afbacked Cobolli | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cobolli | 31c | 261.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Fery | 68c | 252.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Cobolli | 30c | 215$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Cobolli | 32c | 151.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Fery | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Cobolli | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Cobolli | 32c | 133.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Fery | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cobolli | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fery | 70c | 98.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cobolli | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Fery | 69c | 84.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Cobolli | 31c | 84.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Cobolli | 34c | 77.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Cobolli | 32c | 51.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cobolli | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Fery | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)this page
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.