Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Fery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa80ba72ee49c3bdb46d7b54f05816e8ff0ebac4dbf6c06890d851bdf6a872a08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feryof Cobolli, Fery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fery | 37c | 3,922$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.11 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cobolli | 63c | 2,842$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fery | 47c | 2,598$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,763$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.89 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Cobolli | 60c | 1,375$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.31 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fery | 49c | 1,182$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.65 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Fery | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Cobolli | 63c | 953.18$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Fery | 50c | 802.38$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fery | 60c | 650$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Cobolli | 62c | 631.2$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.08 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cobolli | 53c | 613.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Fery | 45c | 449.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.11 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Fery | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…8f9ebacked Cobolli | 57c | 428.14$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fery | 36c | 408.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…24a8backed Cobolli | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Cobolli | 62c | 243.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Fery | 36c | 238.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.69 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cobolli | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Cobolli | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cobolli | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fery | 43c | 195.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…43f9backed Cobolli | 60c | 175.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Cobolli | 50c | 171.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cobolli | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Cobolli | 59c | 167.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Cobolli | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fery | 37c | 152.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fery | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cobolli | 38c | 125.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fery | 42c | 112$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Fery | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Fery | 37c | 97.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fery | 49c | 95.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Cobolli | 56c | 88.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…73adbacked Cobolli | 55c | 85.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Cobolli | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fery | 47c | 79.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Cobolli | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…328fbacked Cobolli | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Cobolli | 48c | 66.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Cobolli | 62c | 61.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cobolli | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Cobolli | 63c | 56.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cobolli | 65c | 55.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Cobolli | 63c | 53.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…9ef0backed Cobolli | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Cobolli | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Cobolli | 60c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Cobolli | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Fery | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Fery | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Fery | 43c | 36.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Cobolli | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Fery | 48c | 22.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Ferythis page
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Fery: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Arthur Fery: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set 3 Winner: Cobolli vs FeryFery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Fery won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Fery won
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryArthur Fery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.