TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0018…328f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT5036%18 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Tjen vs Samsonovabacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandezbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Estoril Open, Qualification: Orlando Luz vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Set 2 Winner: Aguilar vs Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.3
Set 1 Winner: Heide vs Feldbauschbacked Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.71
Set 1 Winner: Palan vs Valientebacked Valiente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.39
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$55.75
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$38.62
Set 1 Winner: Dzumhur vs Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.82
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Halysbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.24
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$18.67
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.67
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.08
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Set 1 Winner: Walton vs Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set 1 Winner: Royer vs Danielbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.83
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.25
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Stormbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Stormbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+228.6%+$45.71
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$30.73
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.72
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.92
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.48
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.43
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$19.52
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
All 5 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$46.4
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$19.3
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Bilbao Basket vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+140.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$25.64
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed SC Braga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$13.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.